Tag Archives: All-Weather

Monday Selection: Gameplay A Big Price at Wolvs

Warren Hill

7.10 Wolverhampton: Nursery (Class 6), 1m 141y

A poor nursery which gives well bred Gameplay a big chance to get off the mark on his nursery debut. He hasn’t shown a lot in three maidens, but the slight step up in trip and the fact that he gets into this race of an opening mark off 60 must give him a big chance.

Add to this that cheekpieces are applied for the first time and his recent gelding op – Mr. Appleby has a tremendous record with geldings first time out – and a price of 9/2 becomes suddenly quite a big one in a race like this. Gameplay could have easily more to offer.

Gameplay @ 9/2 Coral – 5pts Win

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Kempton: Be wary of unexposed Ice Bond

Newmarket Rowley Mile Winning post

Nice 12/1 winner yesterday – Almuheet did the business quite nicely and bounced back to form as hoped. A good follow-up from the winner when Twilight provided me a “bounce back winner” at 10/1 in the big Haydock Sprint. It has been going too well lately, but these two winners are hopefully a sign of better things to come.

6.20 Kempton: Nursery Class 6, 7f

For obvious reasons this is a wide open race. But I feel two horses stand out from the unexposed crowd. Godolphin’s Criminalistic with a good apprentice in the saddle could well be able to exploit his opening mark given his very flashy pedigree as well as good performance in three maidens.

However his draw in combination with the fact that he was very early very badly outpaced the last time makes me believe that he may not encounter an ideal scenario today and might be one to watch and wait until he steps up to 1m.

The second horse I have an eye on is Richard Hannon’s Ice Bond. He didn’t show too much in his maiden starts but steps up to 7f again which should very much suit him on pedigree, much more at least than the sprint trips he’s been racing over recently.

He has a fine pedigree for the All-Weather, suggesting his first start on this surface could see him leaving any turf form behind. His low opening mark gives him every chance to be better, so the booking of a talented 5lb claimer is an additional bonus. On balance he is the one I want to back at a tasty price.

Ice Bond @ 14/1 Coral – 5pts Win

Iron Major Dundalk

5.15 Kempton: Class 4 Handicap, 7f

Hard to look beyond progressive Commodore here. He was quite unlucky not to finish closer the last time over course and distance when a fine runner-up after overcoming the widest draw and a tactical disadvantage.

He wasn’t at his best at Newmarket when he probably didn’t quite handle the track either but ran a huge race at Sandown in June when second again, a form which works out strongly.

He has the benefit of a much kinder draw here, which should help him to get into a decent position early on. There is not too much to fear here in this field and with his 3yo weight allowance giving him a huge chance.

Commodore @ 7/2 Betfred – 10pts Win

Saturday Night Selections

Newmarket Rowley Mile Winning post

6.00 Bath: Class 4 Handicap, 10f

Baylay is a progressive 3yo who enjoys fast ground and has won here at Bath over course and distance last month. He’s only 3lb higher, which could be lenient as he won a shade cosily in the end, after appearing to be outpaced earlier on. He might well have been green, though. There is more to come and he has a good chance to follow-up in this field.

Baylay @ 5/1 William Hill – 5pts Win

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7.45 Chelmsford: Class 4 Handicap, 5f

Arctic Lynx is a multiple CD scorer which I feel is important at Chelmsford. He won off 73 and 69 in here, and is currently down to 69 again. He should be competitive from a good draw today, albeit he has to bring his A-game in this class. However with a low weight, he has a better chance than his price suggest in my mind.

Arctic Lynx @ 20/1 PP – 5pts Win

Max can rock on at Wolverhampton

Warren Hill

7.20 Wolverhampton: Class 5 Handicap, 9f

Rock Of Max is a bit on the drift but is now a price where I’m happy to lump on. It’s race where most of the older horses are quite exposed and not overly well handicapped. So from the bottom of the weights this three year old colt may be the answer. He didn’t show too much, although is latest Kempton effort wasn’t quite as bad as he stayed on from an unfavourable position.

Whether he is up to his opening mark or not remains to be seen, but the dam produced two foals who developed into mid 90 rated individuals, so there is a fair chance for some improvement as the step up in trip should work in favour too.

Rock Of Max @ 7/1 Stan James – 5pts Win

Wednesday Selections – Kempton Park

DSC_0958

Boooom! Saumur get in – 16/1 SP – finally something to celebrate again. It has been a bit of a struggle in recent weeks as anyone knows who follows this blog. But those kind of winners are more than consolation. It could have been even better Dutiful Son did a really good job in the feature event, but just had a bit too much to do. A really interesting contest that was and I feel Windy Citi and Exchequer are the two to take out of the race as they didn’t have the clearest of passages.

7.40 Kempton: Class 4 Handicap, 7f

It’s a poor enough contest and that may enable to weight Pretty Bubbles to overcome a big mark, but I’m surprised to see 3yo old Little Prairie available at 4/1 with StanJames, which surely is at least a full point too big. She didn’t run her race in tough conditions event at Leicester the last time – but that against much better opposition, not favoured by the weights at all – a performance to forgive.

She is better judged on her impressive maiden win at Lingfield. She romped home from the front that day. She got lose easily in a decent enough field. First time in a Handicap now, she can be capable of overcoming an opening mark off 81, particularly against this opposition here. Not saying she is a banker, but she is certainly the most likely winner and a big price for that.

Little Prairie @ 4/1 – 10pts Win

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8.10 Kempton: Class 3 Handicap, 1m

Yeager is a massive price here judged on his strong penultimate run. He’s on the same mark when finishing runner-up behind Fire Fighting. A form that works out really well. The drop to 1m shouldn’t really be a problem, neither should be the All-Weather. He has been runner-up in a hot race off a lb higher mark last year at Lingfield over 1m.

He hasn’t won since his days as a three year old and that is a concern. But he raced subsequently of mid 90 marks in very competitive races and has shown here and there some good form. He’s dangerous today I feel.

Yeager @ 20/1 Coral – 5pts Win

Tuesday Selections – Kempton Park

Dundalk All-Weather

4.15 Kempton: Class 3 Handicap, 7f

This is an intriguing contest with a handful of promising contenders. Dramatically improving Ian’s Memory tops the market and despite not being flashy, he may just does enough to win and could still have more to offer. Though the handicappers doesn’t take any prisoners with him.

Exchequer loves the All-Weather and the track. He’s consistent. This big, scopey gelding should make good of a perfect draw. Claim The Roses ran a massive race the last time behind subsequent Great St Wilfrid Handicap Don’t Touch. I’m slightly concerned about his wide draw though.

Windy Citi won with bit in hand the other day, the drop in trip shouldn’t be a problem. Lightly raced Mulzamm will appreciate this trip more than 6f on pedigree. Whether he is good enough against this field remains to be seen.

Most of those mentioned above are decent prices. Hard to distinguish them. The one certainly overpriced is Dutiful Son, though. Well bred, impressive 6f winner at Chelmsford in April, he was not seen to best effect over 1m the last two starts. Way, way too far off the pace on his penultimate run, and also not in the best position the last time when third behind Windy City. The trip may also stretch him.

The drop to 7f looks ideal, however and I would assume him to be ridden much positive from a healthy draw. It’s Nicky Mackay’s only ride on the day – it could be a good one.

Dutiful Son @ 16/1 Paddy Power – 5pts Win

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4.45 Kempton: Class 5 Handicap, 1m 4f

Melodica may well have too much to offer for this lot but it is such a poor race hat I feel it is worth to side with bottom weight Saumur who has the chance to improve for the new trip big time. She looked one-paced in her last two starts over 10f but did reasonably well considering the horses she competed against.

On pedigree she should really relish the 12f distance and won’t mind the All-Weather surface. It could bring out enough improvement to see her go close in this field off her light weight.

Saumur @ 12/1 Paddy Power – 5pts Win