2.40 Yarmouth: Class 5 Nursery, 7f
Owen Burrows’ Mutafarrid appears to be potentially well handicap on his nursery debut. The Dark Angel colt ran well in his last two races in maiden company – in his second career start he used allot of energy from a wide draw to be up with the pace, yet he finished a good fourth in a hot race that worked out well.
Last time at Wolverhampton he missed the break, got bumped into right after and never settled over too sharp 6f. Still he finished with credit in fifth and this athletic type should enjoy the simpler experience that is 7f at Yarmouth.
Judged on collateral form the opening mark of 69 is more than fair and he should be a bit better than that, I reckon.
10pts win – Mutafarrid @ 5/1 Bet365
2.50 Musselburgh: Class 2 Handicap, 7f
Big Tour is a progressive three year old colt with few miles on the clock. He won the last two in good fashion, though looked really home over 7f with a good pace on softish ground at Yarmouth last month.
He appears to be progressive and can easily have more to offer. A 6lb hike is reasonable but may not be enough to stop him.
The slight concern is the wide draw for a horse that likes to be close to the speed at a course where your chances rise and fall with track position. At the price I’m siding with him, nonetheless.
10pts win – Big Tour @ 7/2 Skybet
4.10 Yarmouth: Class 6 Handicap, 10f
Very weak contest and that opens the door for a surprise package. That could be handicap debutante My Name Is Jeff. He didn’t show an awful lot in three maiden starts, as you would expect. However he bumped into some decent horses along the way too.
This is way easier and ground and trip could suit perfectly. The dam was a sprinter but there is a bit stamina down the lines plus sire Mount Nelson has a fine track record over this trip with his offspring.
A lowly opening mark gives My Name Is Jeff a fair chance to improve dramatically from anything he has shown to date.
10pts win – My Name Is Jeff @ 12/1 Bet365