The National Hunt season is drawing to a close but before it’s all over and part of history it gonna end with a bing bang – the Scottish Grand National! 30 horses taking on the demanding 4 1/2 mile course at Ayr today – so let’s try to find the winner!
I managed to cut down the field to around 14 horses – that shows really how competitive this race is! You could make a reasonable case for so many. I can’t back them all unfortunately, but as always it’s all about the price and value for me, and that is how I came up with the following three selections.
Wiesentraum – @ 100/1 San James
The huge price doesn’t scare me off. Wiesentraum can have a chance here. The trip is an unknown, but he won a couple of times over 3m+ before, so this test may well be within his range. The good ground should be key to his chance as he needs a sound surface to be seen to best effect.
He won twice this season over 3 1/2m on good ground. Back off a break in March, he ran over much shorter. No chance that day but the race should have blown away the cobwebs. With conditions to suit, he may be able to outrun his big price tag off a fair mark.
Amigo – @ 33/1 Bet365
This French gelding hasn’t too many miles on the clock yet and was rather progressive over the last couple of seasons. A good chaser in his native country, he was a fair hurdler in his first season for David Pipe but has surpassed his hurdle mark already as a chaser this season.
Arguably his best performance to date came last month at Newbury when he was a close runner-up to Carruthers. He looks a stayer through and through, won at Ayr before and could still be on the upward. Ground conditions are perfect for him either.
Carli King – @ 40/1 Stan James
Another one who has not too many races under his belt. He won well in Handicap company at Warwick last month and he should relish the ground conditions today as well. He proved his stamina over 3.5 miles already, so it is fair to assume that he gets the trip. Up in the mark for his recent success, there is chance for a bit of further improvement.
All selections: 2.5pts win bets