Tag Archives: Listowel

Sunday Selections: 2nd June 2024

It wouldn’t have made a difference to the result, most likely, yet it was disappointing to see Dancing Gemini once again receiving a ride that compromised his chances to the extremes. Dylan Browne McMonagle is a repeat offender as “catching the eye” way to often for his lack of pace awareness.

His ride cost Dancing Gemini dearly at Longchamp, and once again in the Derby. To drop right back to last position, in a race that didn’t seem to have been run overly fast, when he had a good draw and fine start, was once again surprising as frustrating to watch. It meant he had no control over the route to take for a clear run and was at the mercy of all those 15 rivals ahead of him.

I’m not one to bash jockeys, and no pocket talk either, because, City Of Troy was clearly the best horse in the race – what an impressive performance! But it irked me to see Dancing Gemini getting shocking rides in these two important races.

Some jockeys, no matter how poor they ride, keep their rides in big races. Others, unwarranted, get taken off, like poor Callum Shepherd, for example.

……….

3.17 Listowel: Conditions Race, 1m

An intriguing little contest today at Listowel that may evolve around the pace, and the potential lack of it. This track usually favours those close to the pace.

That may play into the hands of The Liffey, who has shown the ability to lead on debut, but got upset in the stalls and dwelt as a result the next time. He could be a lot better than that showing.

Experienced Quar Shamar also can be forward. Highly tried in the past, his sole win comes on the sand, though. The other 4-year-old in the field, Narmar, is a course and distance winner, but first-time blinkers have to revive him as he was well-beaten the next two times.

Sara Valentina won a weak maiden last month, dropping in trip after a disappointing effort on her racecourse debut last autumn. She moves back up and should be able to see out a mile, given her dam. Certainly an intriguing filly.

Uluru is the most intriguing one, though not only because she’s one of my horses to follow this season.

The filly was mightily impressive on her racecourse debut at Gowran Park last summer: from a wide draw where she didn’t get too well away at the start but eventually ran away with it and clocked an excellent 81 speed rating.

That’s the sign of a potentially smart individual. No surprise, she changed hands afterwards and was desperately unlucky for new owners, Team Valor, in her final start last season.

In a big sales race at Naas it wasn’t a good pace and she got stuck in traffic without a way to get out. She still managed to finish well enough to get him in 4th place.

No question she looks capable of turning into a stakes filly this year, in my view. She only enhanced these claims on her seasonal at Killarney last month. She travelled well and looked to come with a big run on the outside, only a matter of when not if whether she would go past the leader, but she was reportedly hanging badly, and got a remarkably light ride as well, to fail in a tight finish.

The winner Alpheratz is a smart filly in her own right, so this form should be legit, even though she ran a stinker in the Irish 1000 Guineas subsequently.

The question mark for Uluru today is the ground. She never encountered this type of faster surface. But there’s plenty of faster ground form in her pedigree, so proper good ground doesn’t worry me.

Listowel: Texas Jack primed for big run

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Boom – there it is! A big winner, again, finally! Aaaahhh I needed that. Thankfully I didn’t see the race but only the result. Wouldn’t have been good for my heart. Misty Lady finished the job at tasty 14/1 in a thrilling finish. Nice.

4.55 Listowel: 2m 4f Chase

I can see why lightly raced Devils Bridge is a very popular horse here – it could well be the case that he can improve enough to be competitive with the top weight Texas Jack, who is obviously the class act in the field. However, as it has been the case in the last days, the ground will have something to say again.This young Devils Bridge has shown all his best form on quick ground – while Listowel dried out a bit, it is still soft today – so completely alien to him.

I’m more inclined to give proven class another chance. Texas Jack was disappointing in all his recent starts, but you can make excused for him. Either the ground wasn’t soft enough, or the trip to far. However 2m 4f on soft ground represents exactly the kind of test he wants.

So if this multiple Grade 2 winner runs to his best form today, he’ll be certainly hard to beat in my mind.So 5/1 looks rather on the generous side.

Texas Jack @ 5/1 William Hill – 5pts Win

Listowel: Catalaunian will relish testing conditions

Dedigout and Paul Carberry

Shame yesterday, Rule The World travelled much like he would rule the kingdom indeed… but he didn’t quite see it out and finished only third. He’s a frustrating horse, to some extend, I guess. Nonetheless, the greyer the clouds become, the darker the mornings are, the more I get into the mood for jump racing. I have set my eye on two interesting chances at Listowel today in particular….

5.00 Listowel: Grade B Handicap Hurdle, 2m

The ground has decimated the field and should be the deciding factor in the race. The favourite makes plenty of appeal as the bottom weight and may well have too much to offer, however is untested on really soft ground.

So chance is taken on Misty Lady, a proven soft ground performer who has won over two miles in the past. Infact she absolutely loves the mud and also stays further. I can see her being positively ridden today to make it a really stiff test which should suit her best. She has won earlier this year off a 10lb lower mark. This form stacks up well and she run with credit of her current mark subsequently, although switched to the flat then , she hasn’t shown any form in her last handful of starts.

Back over hurdles, with conditions sure to suit, she is a big price against the favourite though.

Misty Lady @ 14/1 William Hill – 5pts Win

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5.35 Listowel: Handicap Hurdle, 3m

If you wanna win this, you’ve got to stay the trip, and you need to stay it well in these ground conditions. That won’t suit a handful in this field, though there are some unexposed horses with potential in it.

I feel Catalaunian, albeit favourite on the machines at the moment, is still overpriced. He is lightly raced and improved dramatically for the step up to 3m and soft ground when winning a maiden at Bellewstown by a street last month. The form is  good as the runner-up won subsequently.

Catalaunian should absolutely relish todays conditions at Listowel, and while his mark is stiff enough for a handicap debut, it could equaly underestimate his potential.

Catalaunian @ 7/2 VC – 5pts Win

Rule The World Can Rule The Kingdom

Rule The World, runner-up Irish Grand National

3.45 Listowel: Handicap (Class 1), 9f

Heavy going all around at Listowel, we have to feel thankful for the fact that can race, actually. A pretty open looking handicap this is here, but I feel Water Sprite is quite overpriced. She couldn’t make her name count on the beach last week, but return to this track, where she won a CD handicap last season, should help.

She is also proven on soft ground and can stay further where needed. From a good raw she may go out aggressively  and make this stamina count on a tight track where it certainly is no disadvantage to be up with the pace. She has been pretty rubbish in her last three races, but for mentioned reasons should be competitive today, even more so with a decent 10lb claimer in the saddle.

Water Sprite @ 12/1 Coral – 5pts Win

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4.20 Listowel: Kerry National (Grade a Handicap). 3m

Rule The World is a bit an unlucky horse. He travelled so strongly in the Galway Plate the other day, just to slip two out. He would have gone mightily close, one would assume. He has never won over 3m, however he shouldn’t have a problem staying the trip, given he was second in last seasons Irish National.

What adds more weight to his chance: clearly the ground. He is so much better when it’s bottomless. While his mark went up 3lb for the strong Galway run, he has the fine 3lb claim from David Mullins.

Rule The World @ 7/1 William Hill