Monday Selections: 27th February 2023

7.30 Wolverhampton: Class 5 Handicap, 5f

Competitive race that should be fast and furious as many are keen to go forward. I also have three eyecatchers running here. I still want to get involved.

Favourite Glorious Charmer is one of those who will look to get some of that early pace. Bidding for a hat-trick, the #5 draw may not be an issue, but he must overcome a new handicap mark of 56. He hasn’t run beyond a speed rating of 52 in the last two years. Looks poor value.

Bang On The Bell down in trip after a recent comeback run makes a lot of appeal. He may be able to come with a strong finish thanks to the fast pace. But a #9 draw is a disadvantage and has a poor record over this C&D.

Of course I have to like the chances of Proclivity, and to a lesser extend Prince Of Rome. The former ran a huge race last time out. He should run his race, though possibly showed too much of his hand lto to be considered well handicapped in this field and pace scenario.

Prince Of Rome won’t have his own way up front. I felt there were not too many excuses last time. 2lb lower than lto is intriguing but the fact he hasn’t run speed ratings that match or better his current mark in a long time tell the tale. Not giving up quite yet on him, but it has to be another day.

Veteran Astrophysics was an excellent winner over course and distance two weeks ago. This is tougher but he could get a nice lead into the home straight from the #3 draw.

No question, though, the one I want to be on here is the filly Sharron Macready. I am more than happy to give her another chance after last weeks poor effort at Southwell.

She finally dropped to the minimum trip there but after an awkward start was once again mad keen. She just went off too hard and burned out quickly.

There is no doubt she is better than that. She was often overly keen in many of her races over 6 furlongs. But ran well, often better than the bare form. The September performance here Wolverhampton over 6f was especially noteworthy. I also liked her Kempton run two starts ago when she kept answering the challenges.

This will only be her second ever opportunity over the minimum trip. She is still lightly enough raced to remain open to improvement, especially if she can settle better.

The expected fast pace can only help her I believe here. So does the #1 draw. She can move forward, using her early speed to get to the front, while others have to do more to get to their preferred position.

Tongue tie and hood are fitted. That could help her to settle better. If it does indeed then I am more than hopeful she proves better than her current 64 handicap mark.

I also take it as an encouraging sign that connections run her so quickly back to back with the new headgear. Strike while the iron is hot – she seems ripe to win, if she can relax a bit better.

Not that it means much, perhaps, but the early prices have quickly vanished as well, but I am more than delighted having snapped up across the night an overall price that is possibly quite a number of points too big as it gives the risk of the filly not settling too much weight, in my view.

She is probably the second best horse in the race with the likelihood of an ideal trip she has no excuses and every chance to outrun the price tag.

10pts win – Sharron Macready @ 7/1

4 thoughts on “Monday Selections: 27th February 2023”

  1. Where do you get your speed ratings from, also
    I make my own pace maps that work out quite nicely if there’s a good way to get in touch and send them over if it’s helps with any of your selections at all I’d be happy to help out. Cheers good luck

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Good morning Will, Thank you for your comment.
    I largely rely on topspeed figures from RP for speed figures. I find them mostly reliable and an excellent tool to evaluate performance. I am following Jon Gibby’s way here.
    I’m really curious to find better ways to evaluate pace as reliably as possible. What’s your way, how do you do it? Generally the pace maps of ATR and RTV are useful to start; I do Speed Points manually if needed, as proposed by Gibby and Mordin.
    Happy to exchange ideas – florianchristoph85 [at] gmail . com


    1. Thanks Florian, appreciate that never looked to much into the reliability of those figures but I certainly will now. I’ve sent over a little email expressing some of my own personal methods. Cheers, always good to talk racing.

      Liked by 1 person

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