7.30 Kempton: Class 6 Handicap, 6f
I was quite taken a week ago with Alfred Cove’s runner-up performance in a Novice Stakes at Wolverhampton over the minimum trip, especially given the weight he carried then.
Even though he wasn’t lightning fast away from the gates, he still managed to grab the lead within the first 200 yards. He set a strong galop, leading the field home, and was eventually passed by the winner who came from off the pace, but was finishing strongly enough to keep 2nd place.
Everything about this run indicated a step up to 6 furlongs is what the 3-year-old gelding wants. The form was likely far from brilliant, but he gave significant weight away to formally higher rated individuals.
In that context he did really well to finish a good runner-up. The time of the race was also quicker than a solid class 5 Handicap over 5 furlongs on the same card.
Having the ability to race off 62 in this class 6 Handicap from the #2 draw looks a brilliant chance to score. He’ll be 2lb higher in the future, looks potentially well in judged through the recent Novice race and will have the opportunity to move forward and be tracking the pace at the very least.
Alfred Cove is still a maiden after 7 career starts and has looked awkward at times in his earlier races. Whether he is able to replicate this recent performance back in handicap company remains to be seen. At the same time with more experience and this strong run in the book only a week ago, his price outweighs the risk vs reward here.
10pts win – Alfred Cove @ 8/1