5.40 Riyadh: Saudi Cup, 1m 1f

There is a lot of positive talk about Tacitus leading up to the race. A notoriously “unlucky” horse. Always in the money, usually running a fine race, but also finding reasons to not get his head in front on the highest level.

He’s reportedly shipped over really well and has physically as well as mentally improved. If he has filled his frame fully, now more mature and stronger, one could imagine a little bit of improvement now as a four year old.

Surely this race must have been the goal for a long time given the prominent connections of Tacitus.

He comes here off a winter break. That may not be an issue given he won on his seasonal debut last year in impressive style. He also has worked well since then. He’s more likely ready to run the race of his life than not.

How much of an advantage a low draw really is at the Riyadh racetrack remains to be seen. Nonetheless I have it more as an advantage to start from the 2 gate.

Obviously this is a top class field and Tacitus has to find some extra to win. But it’s hard to gauge how well the others have travelled and fare at this stage of the season. Given all the positive talk and obvious reasons why Tacitus should be 100% today, I feel he remains a big price.

Selection:
10pts win – Tacitus @ 14/1 VC