Monday Selections: January, 8th 2018

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5.45 Wolverhampton: Class 5 Handicap, 1m 6f

There isn’t allot of ‘form’ on offer in this race. A bunch of out of form individuals that try to find back to the winning ways. That says, four year old Azam has allot going for himself, regardless.

The son of Dansili drops to a dangerous mark, given he ran to higher time-speed ratings in the past and achieved an RPR of 82 on his penultimate start here at Wolverhampton over 12f.

That performance is key to me: he had an awkward start to the race and found himself at the back of the field throughout. Not having a clear run turning for home complicated matters further, yet he finished nicely in what appears to be rock solid form.

Azam drops in class for the first time in quite some time after having to race in better races of higher marks, thanks to a fine Maiden success as a juvenile and a fair handicap performance back in August 2017 in a class 3 Handicap at Pontefract.

This is the easiest task he faces for a long time. Trip wise it’s a question mark. Two miles was too far, whether he really cries out for anything beyond 1m 4f remains to be seen – but he certainly has a fair chance to get 14f alright as he is related to some good middle-distance horses.

A good start will be paramount. Drawn in 11 must not be a disadvantage, as the stats prove. However, Azam can’t give away tons of ground in this big field early on if he wants to win. Given, he’s never done that before, bar the one time three weeks ago, means he is a big chance to be the one in this field who finally gets “1” added in the form bock beside hi name again.

Selection:
1opts win – Azam @ 4/1 Paddy Power

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