3.20 Newbury: Class 3 Handicap, 1m 3f
It highly likely that Sagaciously is well in today and may be hard to beat if runs to his potential. Trip and ground will suit, no doubt. But it’s a big field and he is badly drawn out in the carpark. I feel he is a decent price, but I don’t want to invest in it.
Fellow three year old Process makes plenty of appeal at a much bigger price in my mind. He didn’t impress in his last two starts but bumped into very progressive individual and the forms of those races holds up. With a mark off 87 he is now only 2lb higher than when winning a good Handicap at Kempton, so he may be well treated today going against older horses for the first time .
The weight for age allowance should be a big help as he’s quite a big, scopey horse, and looks very mature. From the bottom of the weights he should fare well in this field where many are exposed. The softish ground is an unknown, but his sire thrived on it. So it’s well worth a try.
Process @ 16/1 Sportingbet – 5pts Win
3.35 Newcastle: Class 5 Handicap, 1m 2f
Unexposed handicap newcomer Burner must have an excellent chance to open his account. He’s not all too badly bred, half-brother Magic Of Reality. He showed some promise in three maidens but will find it now easier in handicaps. His opening mark is fair, and the step up in trip is interesting. He has a good chance to stay on quick ground.
The son of High Chaparral has been gelded since his last run, an action that should yield in improvement as it often does for HC offspring. There is some fair opposition in the field, but if Burner shows the natural progress that is expected he’ll be hard to beat.
Burner @ 3/1 Betfred – 10pts Win