2.55 Redcar: Class 6 Handicap, 1m
Chatty will have a huge chance if he can confirm his last two runs, now that he steps up to a mile. I struggle to catch runners of this yard at the right time, but hope he’s allowed to run on merit.
The 3-year-old gelding can be sluggish at the gate but also quite free. It may be inexperience but he need to start well and be a bit more more relaxed early on in order to get home over a mile.
He should have it in him on pedigree and also judged by the way he finished his last two runs. They were both eyecatching in no uncertain terms.
Awkward away at Redcar in Ma on his seasonal reappearance, he was short of room for a majority of the race but finished fastest under an easy hands and heels ride in the final furlong.
Off to a better start and right on the lead, he was part of a duo/trio that got a bit of a break on the field and he found plenty under pressure even in the final furlong.
He remains on the same mark and looks well-handicapped over a trip that should se him improve, if he settles, as well as for the experience. He’s ideally drawn to be prominent or on the lead once again.
10pts win – Chatty @ 7/2
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4.35 Newmarket: Class 4 Handicap, 7f
Jungle Mac ran two incredibly well the last two times in slightly better races and should find this group of rivals a bit easier. He also has the potential draw advantage and could find himself having an easy enough day out at the front, especially if the race would develop toward the stands’ side.
Despite his speedy sire, there can’t be a question about his stamina for the trip. He finished with strong final sectionals the last two times, even when last see at Doncaster where he set a decent pace.
He rallied strongly that day and showed an equally lovely attitude earlier in May over this trip at the Rowley Mile. That day chasing the pace a couple of lengths off, he travelled well but also looked a little clueless how to handle the undulations of the track. He ran home very strongly and both of these last two forms look strong.
Overall Jungle Mac has a nicely progressive profile. He improved with each of his three runs on various metrics. A nice winner at Chelmsford in February. A fine third over 6 furlongs at Kempton. And then the last two big runs.
He improved with each of the last three runs on speed ratings as well: 74 at Newmarket, a career-best 77 last time out; with more improvement to come he looks capable of better still.
10pts win – Jungle Mac @ 7/2
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9.00 Lingfield: Class 6 Handicap, 6f
Lilkian ran a few stormers lately and looks seriously well-handicapped here, with the addition of a good 5lb claimer on board as well.
He confirmed his strong form with a superb 2nd three weeks ago at Lingfield when he was caught wide throughout the race and still finished strongly.
That was a nice performance that confirmed the promise he showed in a bunch of runs earlier this year, including running to 61 and 62 speed ratings within his last three runs.
Still a turf maiden, he seems not as good on the grass as on sand. However, if you exclude his form on softish ground, he looks quite a capable runner. He’s also down to a career-lowest mark on turf.
Last season he ran three excellent races on decent ground, including being beaten only by a nose. He’s 4lb lower than his eyecatching third at Brighton in September, when last seen on turf.
Clearly he lost a bit of his early speed these days. But there won’t be a super hot pace here, most likely, so he should be capable of crossing over the stands’ side from the #3 drawn and get to a prominent position.
The fast ground looks perfect, and no rain in sight should stay like that. Lilkian looks to have found a prime chance to win his very first race on turf, although he’s on the drift the morning in the betting and that’s a concern.
10pts win – Lilkian @ 7/1