2.15 Newbury: Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2), 6f
Wide open renewal, which lacks a real stand-out performer. I feel, though, rapidly improving King Robert is overpriced. He did a lot of good things in his two starts, overcoming all sorts of trouble. On his debut, when checked and short of room, he was brave and tough. He didn’t have a smooth run the next at Chester either. But he managed to win both times and found another gear when it mattered most.
Whether he is up to Group 2 level is in question We’ll find out today. Certainly he’ll appreciate the slow ground, as I fear on a faster surface he’d be probably quickly outpaced. But he acts fine on softish ground and seems a rather big price in this field.
King Robert @ 8/1 Paddy Power – 5pts Win
2.50 Newbury: Handicap (Class 2), 1m 2f
Burano is a highly attractive price today given he finds his preferred conditions. Down to his last winning mark at the moment he should be competitive on the soft ground, as he won a similar race at this track last year on a rain softened surface. He seemed to find back to some sort of form when last seen at Goodwood. He wasn’t too far beaten in a hot race, but will appreciate the additional furlong and good pace today.
Burano @ 25/1 Coral – 5pts Win