4.15 Kempton: Class 3 Handicap, 7f
This is an intriguing contest with a handful of promising contenders. Dramatically improving Ian’s Memory tops the market and despite not being flashy, he may just does enough to win and could still have more to offer. Though the handicappers doesn’t take any prisoners with him.
Exchequer loves the All-Weather and the track. He’s consistent. This big, scopey gelding should make good of a perfect draw. Claim The Roses ran a massive race the last time behind subsequent Great St Wilfrid Handicap Don’t Touch. I’m slightly concerned about his wide draw though.
Windy Citi won with bit in hand the other day, the drop in trip shouldn’t be a problem. Lightly raced Mulzamm will appreciate this trip more than 6f on pedigree. Whether he is good enough against this field remains to be seen.
Most of those mentioned above are decent prices. Hard to distinguish them. The one certainly overpriced is Dutiful Son, though. Well bred, impressive 6f winner at Chelmsford in April, he was not seen to best effect over 1m the last two starts. Way, way too far off the pace on his penultimate run, and also not in the best position the last time when third behind Windy City. The trip may also stretch him.
The drop to 7f looks ideal, however and I would assume him to be ridden much positive from a healthy draw. It’s Nicky Mackay’s only ride on the day – it could be a good one.
Dutiful Son @ 16/1 Paddy Power – 5pts Win
4.45 Kempton: Class 5 Handicap, 1m 4f
Melodica may well have too much to offer for this lot but it is such a poor race hat I feel it is worth to side with bottom weight Saumur who has the chance to improve for the new trip big time. She looked one-paced in her last two starts over 10f but did reasonably well considering the horses she competed against.
On pedigree she should really relish the 12f distance and won’t mind the All-Weather surface. It could bring out enough improvement to see her go close in this field off her light weight.
Saumur @ 12/1 Paddy Power – 5pts Win