3.50 Redcar: Class 3 Handicap, 5f
Quick ground at Redcar today, should make for exciting racing. This 5f sprint handicap is going to be nothing less than fast and furious! Favourite Desert Law is in good form, ran out a fine 3rd at York just a couple of days ago. His record over 5f is rather poor though. On his best form he’d be hard to beat, but it looks like he is not all that well handicapped these days. Desert Law looks vulnerable to others in this field.
Tim Easterby hast two runners. Both make plenty of appeal. His best chance appears to be Soul Brother. He looks physically improved this year now as a four year old and was a bit unlucky in his last at Musselburgh. He got out late into the clear but finished strongly only to be denied in a photo. A lenient 1lb up, he looks to have a major chance today as he seems to be improving and not yet at his limit. I suspect that he needed his first seasonal outing at Ripon, which also stretched his stamina over 6f where he used up plenty of energy early on to get the lead. Five furlongs and quick ground is perfectly fine for him today.
Easterby’s second string Mappin Time has been very good on the All-Weather this winter. Judged on those efforts he must rate a lively chance today. He didn’t perform in soft conditions at Chester recently, but that is a form easily to forgive. The minimum trip and quick ground is what he really needs and with a fine 7lb claimer in the saddle he should be a big runner.
Noble Asset is not to underestimate. A progressive sort, run out a fine second the last time. He’s competitive, though another 4lb up for that effort makes him look not overly well handicapped. Hard to see any of the others involved here. Mark and ground are against most of these.
The value lies with the two Easterby runners in my mind. I saw the good prices for Soul Brother vanishing, but Sportingbet threw a 6/1 into the aether. Have to be on that. As well as 12/1 for Mappin Time – way too big. Both have sensational chances to win this race in my mind and are way overpriced.
Soul Broher @ 6/1 Sportingbet – 5pts Win
Mappin Time @ 12/1 Coral – 5pts Win