3.10 Newbury: Class 2 Handicap, 1m 2f
Open enough race, which is probably not quite as good as its class promises. The three highest rated individuals are easily to discount. While a couple others may not be as good as their marks do tell.
Last month Newmarket winner Dissolution was one of the first off the bridle that day but fought on gamely to get up on the line. Only 2lb higher today in his rating, he may well improve again. He has to carry actually less weight today, as this is a better class, but as pointed out, it looks only on paper a better race, as in reality it isn’t.
Dissolution looks a lazy type, therefore a visor is back on. He got off the mark in a maiden with this headgear fitted. I believe he must have a huge change to follow-up and make it a hat-trick of wins.
Hugely underestimated looks the Richard Hannon trained Gibeon. He ran a big race in the final race on Newmarket’s 2000 Guineas card, when he finished second in a photo-finish but was later demoted. The winner and third are smart individuals and this form sticks out by a mile in terms of 2015 form on offer in this race. He’s 4lb up but also goes up in trip which should very much suit him on pedigree.
From the rest, the lightly raced Time Test could be anything. He could be a big runner if he has trained on and takes to the new trip. Lightweight Dutch Uncle can’t be easily discounted on form, while Plymouth Sound is one I would expect to do better over this new trip.
Dissolution @ 9/2 Betfred – 5pts Win
Gibeon @ 16/1 Betfred – 5pts Win